Joshua BrinksISciences, LLC 
Photo by Julie Ricard on Unsplash

Summary:

  • Authoritative source for refugee and asylum flows.
  • Global coverage, annual time-step, dyadic.
  • Large portion of flows listed as unknown source or destination country.
  • Suffers from systematic underestimates or other country reporting biases.

The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) Populations of Concern Time Series dataset contains annual dyadic flows between countries for populations of concern. This dataset tracks 7 distinct populations:

  • Refugees: These are individuals recognized under the Geneva Convention of 1951 as refugees or persons in “refugee like situations.” These persons are defined as 1) being present outside of their home country, 2) have a well-founded fear of persecution, and 3) lack the protection of their own country.

  • Asylum-seekers: Individuals seeking international protection, but whose refugee status has yet to be verified.

  • Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs): Indivuals or groups of people forced from their home as a result of armed conflict, natural or man-made disasters, or human rights violations, but have not crossed an international border.

  • Returned Refugees: Former refugees that returned to their country of origin, but have not integrated back into society.

  • Returned IDPs: Former IDPs under UNHCR protection who returned to their home region or original residence.

  • Stateless Persons: Individuals defined under international law not considered as belonging to any Nation-State.

  • Others of Concern: Individuals who are not covered by any of the aforementioned legal declarations, but are under UNHCR protection or receiving UNHCR assistance.

As the premier source for global annual dyadic flows of refugee and asylum seekers, the UNHCR time series dataset is regularly featured in high impact peer reviewed research and serves as the basis for international policy making. Abel (2019)1 recently featured the UNHCR time series in their examination the confounding interactions of conflict, climate, and forced migration. Barthel (2015)2 investigated spatial dependency of countries in close proximity to host countries with laxed refugee and asylum policies. While most research focuses on root causes of refugee flows, Salehyan (2006)3 tested refugee flows as a driver of conflict.

Figure 1: Annual refugee in-flows to Spain from 2000 to 2017.

Figure 1: Annual refugee in-flows to Spain from 2000 to 2017.

Although the UNHCR time series dataset is heavily featured in academic research, users should consider potential systematic biases in reporting. A large proportion of reported dyadic flows are not attributed to an origin country. These values are often removed from analysis, Marbach (2018)4 presents methods for imputing unreported values. Moreover, due to the imprecise nature of observing migration flows, especially in underdeveloped countries, Azose (2019)5 suggests that global migration may be substantially larger than previously estimated.

Reference

1.
Abel, G. J., Brottrager, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J. & Muttarak, R. Climate, conflict and forced migration. Global Environmental Change 54, 239–249 (2019).
2.
Barthel, F. & Neumayer, E. Spatial Dependence in Asylum Migration. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 41, 1131–1151 (2015).
3.
Salehyan, I. & Gleditsch, K. S. Refugees and the Spread of Civil War. International Organization 60, (2006).
4.
Marbach, M. On imputing UNHCR data. Research & Politics 5, 2053168018803239 (2018).
5.
Azose, J. J. & Raftery, A. E. Estimation of emigration, return migration, and transit migration between all pairs of countries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116, 116–122 (2019).

Citation Information:

  • Title: The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees Populations of Concern: Time Series
  • Publication Date: 2018
  • Data Form: tabular, dyadic, country-year
  • Publisher: United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
  • Online Host: http://popstats.unhcr.org/en/time_series
  • DANTE Citekey: UNHCR2017

Dataset Contact Information:

The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, The United Nations 

Use Constraints:

No accompanying codebook or explicit statement of use contraints, however, it’s safe to assume the data is permited for non-commercial use and remaining use cases follow terms established in similar UN data sets via the United Nations Software Licence Agreement.

Additional Metadata

Time Period Information:

  • Beginning Date: 1951
  • Ending Date: 2020
  • Resolution: annual

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